Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?

6
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15 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

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YearMe
2036
24.4%
2030
18%
2026
2.2%
Learn more about scores here.
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