🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many seats will the Identity and Democracy (ID) party win in the 2024 European parliamentary elections?

Resolved :Annulled70.7
4
11
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction70.7 (63.4 - 80)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
63.45
70.69
79.98
0.2%

What was the final result?Annulled

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Effective Institutions Project
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
European Union
Member of the European Parliament
European Parliament
United States–European Union relations
Identity and Democracy
2024 European Parliament election

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