🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many directly elected seats will independents win in the National Assembly of Pakistan following the 2024 election?

Resolved :10176.7
2
15
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction76.7 (58.7 - 91.3)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150
...
...
...
...
...
11.4%
58.75
76.73
91.27
2.8%

What was the final result?101

Community Baseline Score
12.1
Community Peer Score
30.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Pakistan
Imran Khan
National Assembly of Pakistan
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
Election Commission of Pakistan
Supreme Court of Pakistan

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