Question

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction12% (6% - 30%)

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50%

community: 12%

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Authors:

RyanBeck TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Key facts from the Pentagon's annual China military report

Raw Story•Dec 19, 2024

US Shares Update on China's Nuclear Arsenal

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

China continues nuclear buildup, has strengthened ties to Russia, Defense Dept report says

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Key facts from the Pentagon's annual China military report

Raw Story•Dec 19, 2024

US Shares Update on China's Nuclear Arsenal

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

China continues nuclear buildup, has strengthened ties to Russia, Defense Dept report says

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Comments

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?