Question

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction

15%

(6% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

RyanBeck TomL

Opened:

Feb 1, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 4, 2024

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Inside China's 'Underground Great Wall' primed for WW3: How Beijing hides terrifying intercontinental missiles in vast tunnel network as 'last trump card' if nuclear war breaks out

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Taiwanese Military to Simulate 2027 Chinese Invasion

Breitbart•Mar 22, 2025

US Warns Over China's Expansion on its Doorstep

Newsweek•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

50%

Comments

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