M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

Question

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

Resolved :Yes
Total Forecasters171
Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

median 99.0%mean 97.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


Comments

? comments