Question

Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Resolved :No

21 comments21

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

median 5.0%mean 9.1%

Authors:

TheMann

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

Beijing

Korean Air Flight 858

Centennial Olympic Park bombing

Seoul

Israel national football team

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

18.6k

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

TheMann

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

Beijing

Korean Air Flight 858

Centennial Olympic Park bombing

Seoul

Israel national football team

Terror Attack in Tel Aviv: 4 Killed, 7 Wounded in Shooting in Jaffa

Breitbart•Oct 1, 2024

Eight Dead, Seven Wounded In Tel Aviv Terrorist Attack

Daily Wire•Oct 2, 2024

BREAKING: Terror Attack Reported in Tel Aviv, Eight Confirmed Dead

Townhall•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

18.6k

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Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Make a Prediction

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Comments

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?