Question

Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.2

Community Peer Score

12.1

median 5.0%mean 9.1%

Authors:

TheMann

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Sports & Entertainment

Beijing

Korean Air Flight 858

Centennial Olympic Park bombing

Seoul

Israel national football team

Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?

20%

What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?

18.6k

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

0.1%

Comments

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