Question

When will Vanza be available for Cystic Fibrosis patients in England?

Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction2026-03-16 (2025-03-18 - 2027-07-31)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2035-01-01
community	Mar 2025	Mar 2026	Jul 2027	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Mar 2025	—
median	Mar 2026	—
upper 75%	Jul 2027	—
Upper bound
>2035-01-01	0.3%	—

Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Feb 7, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

Medicine

Pulmonology

National Health Service (England)

Cystic fibrosis

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Daily Mail•Feb 16, 2025

Weight loss drug Wegovy approved to treat heart disease in overweight and obese Australian patients

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

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CNBC•Feb 18, 2025

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Comments

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Authors:

JKitson

Opened:

Feb 7, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

Medicine

Pulmonology

National Health Service (England)

Cystic fibrosis

Hundreds of children born degenerative muscle-wasting disease to be offered new NHS drug to combat deadly condition

Daily Mail•Feb 16, 2025

Weight loss drug Wegovy approved to treat heart disease in overweight and obese Australian patients

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

High-cost sickle cell gene therapies push insurers and Medicaid programs to find new payment models

CNBC•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

40%

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Will bimagrumab be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

32.6%