Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

conditional

Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024?

if yes

if no

Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

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Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024?	Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 1%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ministry of Defence (United Kingdom)

Institute for the Study of War

Russia

Ukr captures Rylsk by October 1, 2024? → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024

Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ministry of Defence (United Kingdom)

Institute for the Study of War

Russia

The trajectory of Ukraine’s fight against Russia hangs on the outcome of the US election

Associated Press•Oct 28, 2024

Russia and Ukraine Quietly Resume Talks About Partial Ceasefire: Report

Newsweek•Oct 30, 2024

Ukraine Is Barely Surviving as All Thought of 'Victory' Disappears

PJ Media•Oct 31, 2024

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