Question

Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?

Resolved :No

38 comments38

Total Forecasters152

Community Prediction4%

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community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

median 4.0%mean 7.9%

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Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

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Opened:

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Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

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Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?

Make a Prediction

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Comments

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?