Question

Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)?

Resolved :No

38 comments38

Total Forecasters152

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

28.5

Community Peer Score

31.7

median 4.0%mean 7.9%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Israel boosts aid to war-torn Gaza, but is it enough as the Biden admin's deadline for military support looms?

CBS•Nov 11, 2024

Aid groups say Israel misses US deadline to boost humanitarian help for Gaza

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Israel Misses U.S. Deadline to 'Surge' Aid for Gaza

Time•Nov 12, 2024

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