Question

When will a fully-automated closed loop insulin delivery system for Type 1 diabetes be approved?

Total Forecasters2

Community Prediction2034-03-10 (2030-07-01 - 2037-12-08)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	Jul 2030	Mar 2034	Dec 2037
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jul 2030	—
median	Mar 2034	—
upper 75%	Dec 2037	—

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Apr 5, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2042

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2043

Figure will start ‘alpha testing’ its humanoid robot in the home in 2025

TechCrunch•Feb 28, 2025

Soft robotic prosthetic hand uses nerve signals for more natural control

FOX News•Mar 1, 2025

The 2025 Terminator? Lab-grown muscle brings biohybrid robot hand to life

FOX News•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

40%

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%

Comments

? comments