🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
6
30
Total Forecasters143
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
19.2
Community Peer Score
17.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Super Tuesday
South Carolina
2024 Elections (US)
Nikki Haley
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump

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