🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle remain speaker of the House of Commons until March 1st 2024?

Resolved :Yes99%
2
13
Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
75.0
Community Peer Score
23.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Kaleem
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Lindsay Hoyle
House of Commons of the UK
Labour Party (UK)
Conservative Party (UK)

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