🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will salvage operations commence on the cargo vessel “M/V Rubymar” prior to April 1, 2024?

Resolved :No1%
3
5
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-3.3
Community Peer Score
-0.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
2024 Leaderboard
Yemen
Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)
Gulf of Aden
Hanish Islands
United States Central Command
Boskalis
SAFER

Comments

? comments