Question

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

21 comments21

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction7% (4% - 10%)

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50%

community: 7%

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Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

Putin Reveals When Russia May Use Nuclear Weapons Under New Doctrine

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Ukraine war briefing: Nato warns that Putin wants to ‘wipe Ukraine off the map’

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

25%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Comments

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Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Map Shows Possible WWIII Frontlines if Russia Invaded Europe

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

Putin Reveals When Russia May Use Nuclear Weapons Under New Doctrine

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Ukraine war briefing: Nato warns that Putin wants to ‘wipe Ukraine off the map’

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

25%

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Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Comments

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?