πŸ”­ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global β€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm β€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be a new confrontation between Chinese and Philippine military vessels before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes95%
5
23
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction95% (80% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-84.0
Community Peer Score
18.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ† Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard
People's Liberation Army
South China Sea
China
Philippines
Territorial disputes in the South China Sea
Armed Forces of the Philippines

Comments

? comments