Question

Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?

Resolved :Yes60%

8 comments8

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction60% (39% - 81%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

17.2

Community Peer Score

-2.5

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

SK Bioscience approved for Japanese encephalitis vaccine trial in Australia

Korea Herald•Dec 13, 2024

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-06

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

SK Bioscience approved for Japanese encephalitis vaccine trial in Australia

Korea Herald•Dec 13, 2024

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-06

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

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Zapping Zika #1: First vaccine trials by January 2017?

Make a Prediction

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?