Group
On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Year | resolution | ||
|---|---|---|---|
113 | |||
| Year | 25th | median | 75th |
92.1 ... | 111 ... | 120 ... | |
CDF
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>120
98.36
115.8
>120
39.8%
What was the final result?113
Community Baseline Score
0.6
Community Peer Score
11.8
Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch