Question

Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

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Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction4% (1% - 4.4%)

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50%

community: 4%

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Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Drills Around Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Drills Around Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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MetaculusM

Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

Make a Prediction

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will China impose a customs quarantine on Taiwan before the following years?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?