Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

2
0
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction4% (1% - 4.4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Taiwan
China

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