Question

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction55% (27.4% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Q&A: 'Vast, Deep Impact' if China Invades Taiwan, Says Author Kerry Brown

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

The maps that show how China’s military is squeezing Taiwan

Guardian•Jan 23, 2025

Microchip, sea, war

Strategic Culture•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Forecast on critical questions on Taiwan 🇹🇼

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Q&A: 'Vast, Deep Impact' if China Invades Taiwan, Says Author Kerry Brown

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

The maps that show how China’s military is squeezing Taiwan

Guardian•Jan 23, 2025

Microchip, sea, war

Strategic Culture•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch