Question

Will China have placed 5 or more U.S. companies onto its Unreliable Entities List before 2030?

Resolved :Yes95%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction95% (95% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

1.2

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Ministry of Commerce (China)

China slaps extra tariffs of up to 15% on imports of major US farm exports, including soy and beef

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

China Retaliates Against Trump, Imposing Tariffs and Blacklisting U.S. Companies

New York Times•Mar 4, 2025

China Announces Extra Tariffs on Key U.S. Farm Products

Time•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025?

10%

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Ministry of Commerce (China)

China slaps extra tariffs of up to 15% on imports of major US farm exports, including soy and beef

Associated Press•Mar 4, 2025

China Retaliates Against Trump, Imposing Tariffs and Blacklisting U.S. Companies

New York Times•Mar 4, 2025

China Announces Extra Tariffs on Key U.S. Farm Products

Time•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025?

10%

MetaculusM

Will China have placed 5 or more U.S. companies onto its Unreliable Entities List before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Comments

Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates?

Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.