šŸ”­ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global ā€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm ā€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Paul Christiano be publicly confirmed to be joining the US AI Safety Institute before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :No1%
-4
24
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
70.9
Community Peer Score
20.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
šŸ† Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup šŸ†
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard
National Institute of Standards and Technology
United States
Paul Christiano

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