Question

Will Paul Christiano be publicly confirmed to be joining the US AI Safety Institute before April 1, 2024?

Resolved :No

-4

24 comments24

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

70.9

Community Peer Score

20.4

median 1.0%mean 3.5%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Artificial Intelligence

National Institute of Standards and Technology

United States

Paul Christiano

Will the listed AI companies/labs create a board risk committee before January 1st, 2025?

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%

Will the listed AI companies/labs have merge and assist clauses on January 1st 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Artificial Intelligence

National Institute of Standards and Technology

United States

Paul Christiano

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Will the listed AI companies/labs create a board risk committee before January 1st, 2025?

Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?

51%