M

Question

If China detonates a nuclear weapon offensively as a first use before 2035, will they have first officially renounced their “no first use” policy?

1
11
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction37.1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 37.1%
median 37.1%mean 45.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
No first use
China

Comments

? comments