Question

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction7.7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7.7%

median 7.7%mean 7.8%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

United States Indo-Pacific Command

RIM-174 Standard ERAM

Manila

Tony Blinken

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

United States Indo-Pacific Command

RIM-174 Standard ERAM

Manila

Tony Blinken

China Warned About US Nuclear Missile Test: Pentagon

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

China Issues Warning About US Missile System on Doorstep

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

US and Philippines sign a pact to secure shared military intelligence and weapons technology

Associated Press•Nov 18, 2024

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