Question

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction9.4% (5% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 9.4%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation

Japan

Philippines says it will acquire U.S. Typhon missile system, sparking warnings from China

CBS•Jan 28, 2025

US Ally To Put More Missiles Near China's Coast

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Philippines Says It Will Acquire Controversial US Missile System, China Warns of ‘Arms Race’

AntiWar•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation

Japan

Philippines says it will acquire U.S. Typhon missile system, sparking warnings from China

CBS•Jan 28, 2025

US Ally To Put More Missiles Near China's Coast

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Philippines Says It Will Acquire Controversial US Missile System, China Warns of ‘Arms Race’

AntiWar•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch