US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

conditional

condition

US TikTok ban or forced sale?

Resolved :Yes

11 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

Resolved :Annulled5%

no comments0

Make a Prediction

US TikTok ban or forced sale?	US-China AI Treaty? (2025)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 1%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Republican Party (US)

Google Play

App Store (iOS)

Artificial intelligence arms race

TikTok prepares for US ban after delay bid rejected

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Is TikTok really getting banned in the US? What we know after court denied petition

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

How TikTok could avoid being banned in the U.S.

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tiktok be Banned in the US or Sold before January 20, 2025?

0.1%

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Republican Party (US)

Google Play

App Store (iOS)

Artificial intelligence arms race

TikTok prepares for US ban after delay bid rejected

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Is TikTok really getting banned in the US? What we know after court denied petition

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

How TikTok could avoid being banned in the U.S.

CBS•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tiktok be Banned in the US or Sold before January 20, 2025?

0.1%