US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

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US TikTok ban or forced sale?

Resolved :Yes

11 forecasters

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if no

US-China AI Treaty? (2025)

Resolved :Annulled

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US TikTok ban or forced sale?	US-China AI Treaty? (2025)
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community: 1%

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Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Republican Party (US)

Google Play

App Store (iOS)

Artificial intelligence arms race

Information technology

Will Tiktok be Banned in the US or Sold before January 20, 2025?

0.6%

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Republican Party (US)

Google Play

App Store (iOS)

Artificial intelligence arms race

Information technology

Trump victory may provide TikTok a lifeline to remain in the U.S.

NBC•Nov 14, 2024

Trump led the charge to ban TikTok. Now he says he’ll save it

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Xi-Biden meet: Tariffs to Taiwan, what ails US-China ties as Trump looms

Al Jazeera•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tiktok be Banned in the US or Sold before January 20, 2025?

0.6%