M

conditional

Make a Prediction

>500,000 Palestinians displaced?

Israel-Gaza Conflict Death Toll? (Palestinian civilians)

The question "How many civilian deaths will there be in the Israel-Gaza conflict before July 1, 2024? (Palestinian civilians)" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?" resolves.
My Prediction
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
22.46k
47.19k
>50k
47.1%
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Forecast Timeline

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Closed:
Scheduled resolution:

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