Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction77% (75% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77%

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Mar 21, 2024

Closes:

Jun 9, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 10, 2040

The Bryan Caplan Collection

NATO chief says Russian victory over Ukraine would have a costly impact on alliance’s credibility

Associated Press•Jan 23, 2025

NATO Warns Russian Victory Would Cost Allies Trillions

Newsweek•Jan 23, 2025

NATO Boss Warns Russian Victory Would Damage Alliance's Credibility

Breitbart•Jan 23, 2025

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