Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction79.2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79.2%

median 79.2%mean 77.5%

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Will Trump stop Ukraine from joining NATO?

Strategic Culture•Nov 14, 2024

UKRAINE WAR: Biden's Latest Blunder Is an Invitation, Not an Escalation

PJ Media•Nov 18, 2024

Could Biden's Ukraine Missile Move Trigger World War III? Experts' Verdicts

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

86.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Will Trump stop Ukraine from joining NATO?

Strategic Culture•Nov 14, 2024

UKRAINE WAR: Biden's Latest Blunder Is an Invitation, Not an Escalation

PJ Media•Nov 18, 2024

Could Biden's Ukraine Missile Move Trigger World War III? Experts' Verdicts

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

86.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%