Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Russia will not invade a NATO member by June 10, 2040?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction79.2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79.2%

median 79.2%mean 77.5%

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

86.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

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Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

86.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%