Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

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Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction95% (85.3% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

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Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Bryan Caplan

National Center for Education Statistics

Early Acceptance Rates At Brown And Williams Increase As Applicant Numbers Fall

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Massive College Closures Remains A Misunderstood Myth

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

As Competition Heats Up, More Colleges Freeze Tuition Or Make It Free

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

15%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Comments

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Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Bryan Caplan

National Center for Education Statistics

Early Acceptance Rates At Brown And Williams Increase As Applicant Numbers Fall

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Massive College Closures Remains A Misunderstood Myth

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

As Competition Heats Up, More Colleges Freeze Tuition Or Make It Free

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

15%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Comments

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?