Question

Will Aidan Caplan win his bet that the Supreme Court will not be packed as of July 4, 2028?

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Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction90.8% (90% - 95%)

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50%

community: 90.8%

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pedroacosta

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The Bryan Caplan Collection

Politics

Bryan Caplan

Supreme Court of the US

Alito and Thomas Have Already Taken the Most-Contradictory Positions of the Supreme Court Term

Slate•Dec 16, 2024

How Trump’s lawyer could steer the Supreme Court on abortion and trans rights

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Democrats warn GOP: Don't fill a Supreme Court vacancy in 2020 or we'll retaliate

NBC•Dec 19, 2024

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90%

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75%

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95%

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