Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction86.4% (80% - 93%)

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50%

community: 86.4%

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Authors:

pedroacosta

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Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Geopolitics

List of sovereign states and dependent territories in Europe

Bryan Caplan

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