🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Before November 5, 2024, will the State of New York seize any of Donald Trump's real estate holdings to satisfy the judgement in the NY civil fraud case?

Resolved :No1%
6
11
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction1% (0.4% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
91.9
Community Peer Score
7.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
lbiii
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
Letitia James
Donald Trump
New York (state)

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