Question

Before November 5, 2024, will the State of New York seize any of Donald Trump's real estate holdings to satisfy the judgement in the NY civil fraud case?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

91.9

Community Peer Score

7.9

median 1.0%mean 1.5%

Authors:

lbiii

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If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

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Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Whether Trump will ever get sentenced on his hush-money conviction may become clear on Tuesday

Business Insider•Nov 19, 2024

Trump’s Hush Money Conviction Shouldn’t Be Thrown Out, DA Argues—But Sentencing Could Be Postponed Until 2029

Forbes•Nov 20, 2024

Prosecutors request stay in Trump NY case until 2029 as defense plans motion for dismissal 'once and for all'

FOX News•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%