Question

Will the AI's major professional society take a position on "killer robots"?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

71.1

Community Peer Score

3.2

median 17.0%mean 23.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Social Sciences

Campaign to Stop Killer Robots

Lethal autonomous weapon

Military science

Robotics

Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

The AI Machine Gun of the Future Is Already Here

Wired•Nov 11, 2024

AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It

Atlantic•Nov 13, 2024

A.I. Safety Institute Defends the Future of U.S. Tech Policy as Trump’s New Era Looms

Observer (NY)•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

11%

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

68%

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

59%

Comments

? comments