Question

Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?

Resolved :Yes63%

9 comments9

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction63% (45% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

40.9

Community Peer Score

-4.3

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Apr 23, 2016

Closes:

Jul 1, 2016

Resolves:

Aug 26, 2016

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

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Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

27%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

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