Question

Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?

Resolved :Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction63%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 63%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

40.9

Community Peer Score

-4.3

median 63.0%mean 60.1%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

20%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

Comments

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