🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the total finishing time for the 2024 Boston Marathon winners (male and female combined)?

Resolved :269268
15
1
Total Forecasters178
Community Prediction268 (266 - 270)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<260
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>285
...
...
...
...
...
2.3%
265.6
267.6
270.4
2.5%

What was the final result?269

Community Baseline Score
48.4
Community Peer Score
18.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeckAnastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest 2024 Warmup
Sports & Entertainment
2024 Leaderboard
Boston
Heartbreak Hill
Massachusetts
Boston Marathon
Hopkinton, Massachusetts
Boston Marathon bombing

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