Question

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction4.24

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2.692

4.236

6.1

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

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On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%