Question

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction4.01 (2.42 - 5.83)

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

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2.423

4.009

5.825

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lbiii

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Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

As robotaxi companies stumble in the US, China’s fleet is growing

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo is sending autonomous vehicles to Japan for first international tests

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

2024-2025 Leaderboard

As robotaxi companies stumble in the US, China’s fleet is growing

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo is sending autonomous vehicles to Japan for first international tests

Verge•Dec 17, 2024

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

Make a Prediction

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Comments

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?