Question

Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction17% (15.2% - 17.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Authors:

RyanBeck stanulamstan

Opened:

Mar 27, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Natural Sciences

Information technology in India

Economy of India

Genetics

Cognitive science

In vitro fertilisation

Psychology

India

Intelligence quotient

Medicine

Polygenic score

India Faces Looming Population Challenge

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Technology for lab-grown eggs or sperm on brink of viability, UK fertility watchdog finds

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

A Less Brutal Alternative to IVF

Atlantic•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

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