Question

Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction17% (15.2% - 17.9%)

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50%

community: 17%

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Authors:

RyanBeck stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Cognitive science

India

Intelligence quotient

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Information technology in India

Economy of India

Genetics

Psychology

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Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Indian startups raised 32% fewer rounds in 2024 as VCs got selective

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Inside India's 'Silicon Valley': a city straining under pressure

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

Cognitive science

India

Intelligence quotient

In vitro fertilisation

Polygenic score

Reproductive medicine

Information technology in India

Economy of India

Genetics

Psychology

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Indian startups raised 32% fewer rounds in 2024 as VCs got selective

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

Inside India's 'Silicon Valley': a city straining under pressure

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

41.6%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will India be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Make a Prediction

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?