Question
On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?
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Total Forecasters 41
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| Lab | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI | 49.9% | |||
Anthropic | 29% | |||
Google DeepMind | 16.7% | |||
Meta | 1.8% | |||
Mistral | 0.5% | |||
Other | 2.1% | |||
Total: ?
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