Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

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13 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 13

Make a Prediction

YearMe
In 2024
3%
In 2025
25.2%
In 2026-2027
45.4%
In 2028-2029
19.2%
2030 or later
7.3%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

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