Question

Will the Powerball jackpot be won before April 15, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction84%

Make a Prediction

community: 84%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.2

Community Peer Score

5.3

median 84.0%mean 69.9%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup

Sports & Entertainment

United States

Multi-State Lottery Association

Powerball

🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

88%

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

2051-05-30

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup

Sports & Entertainment

United States

Multi-State Lottery Association

Powerball

Powerball winning numbers for October 7: Jackpot rises to $315 million

USA Today•Oct 8, 2024

Mega Millions to undergo major overhaul by spring 2025, promising ‘more billionaires’

Independent•Oct 8, 2024

Mega Millions upping price of lottery tickets next year

FOX News•Oct 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

88%

When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?

2051-05-30