Question

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction12%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

median 12.0%mean 21.5%

Authors:

christian.q.chung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Social Sciences

People's Liberation Army

China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say

CNBC•Nov 11, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

New York state’s population could drop by 2 million people come 2050, shocking study finds

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian.q.chung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Health & Pandemics

Social Sciences

People's Liberation Army

China's push for more babies as demographic crisis deepens lacks real incentives, analysts say

CNBC•Nov 11, 2024

Why China's Birth Rate Plans Aren't Working

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

New York state’s population could drop by 2 million people come 2050, shocking study finds

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will China's total population be in these years?

1.36B

Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030?

10%

What will the US population be in these years?

341