Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

conditional

condition

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

no comments0

Make a Prediction

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?	Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 6.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

TSMC says first advanced U.S. chip fab 'dang near back' on schedule. Here’s an inside look

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Taiwan gets its first US Abrams tanks as it prepares for a possible invasion by China

Business Insider•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

TSMC says first advanced U.S. chip fab 'dang near back' on schedule. Here’s an inside look

CNBC•Dec 13, 2024

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

Taiwan gets its first US Abrams tanks as it prepares for a possible invasion by China

Business Insider•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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MetaculusM

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Make a Prediction

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Forecast Timeline

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)