Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

conditional

condition

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)

6 forecasters

if yes

if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

no comments0

Make a Prediction

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)	Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 7.4%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

China

People's Liberation Army Air Force

Exclusive economic zone

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

China

People's Liberation Army Air Force

Exclusive economic zone

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China's Intensified Military Manoeuvres Spark International Concerns

•Dec 13, 2024

China Intensifies Military Presence Near Taiwan

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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MetaculusM

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Make a Prediction

Customs Quarantine Taiwan (2030)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Forecast Timeline

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030) → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)