Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

conditional

condition

Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030)

5 forecasters

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if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

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Taiwan Undersea Cables Cut (2030)	Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)
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50%

community: 5.1%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

Institute for National Defense and Security Research

Democratic Progressive Party

Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted, sparking warnings of possible ‘hybrid warfare’

•Nov 19, 2024

'NATO Lake' Sabotage Feared as Two Undersea Cables Damaged in 24 Hours

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Baltic Sea internet cables cut: European officials cry sabotage

CNN•Nov 19, 2024

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Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

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China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

People's Liberation Army

Institute for National Defense and Security Research

Democratic Progressive Party

Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted, sparking warnings of possible ‘hybrid warfare’

•Nov 19, 2024

'NATO Lake' Sabotage Feared as Two Undersea Cables Damaged in 24 Hours

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

Baltic Sea internet cables cut: European officials cry sabotage

CNN•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch