US-China war before 2035?

conditional

condition

US SLCM 2030

Resolved :Yes

6 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

10%

US-China war before 2035?

Resolved :Annulled

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Make a Prediction

US SLCM 2030	US-China war before 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 10%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea

China

Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

Congressional Research Service

Taiwan Strait

United States

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

U.S. Nukes to Japan or Philippines by 2035? → US-China war before 2035?

Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea

China

Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

Congressional Research Service

Taiwan Strait

United States

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